Tourizense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
TOR
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
TOU
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
TOU
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 2
PIN
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
MOU
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 2
JUV
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
MOU
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 2
MAF
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |