Tourizense vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
EVN
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
1DE
3 - 0
TOU
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOU
0 - 4
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MOU
2 - 1
TOU
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAF
0 - 0
TOR
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SER
0 - 2
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAF
4 - 1
CAR
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
MAF
26%
25%
50%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAF
2 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |