Tourizense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PIN
3 - 1
TOU
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
TOU
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
MAF
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
EVN
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAT
0 - 0
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FAT
3 - 2
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
FAT
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FAT
3 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAT
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |