Tourizense vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
TOU
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 1
TOU
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 0
FAT
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PIN
3 - 1
TOU
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
TOR
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
MOU
75%
16%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 0
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAR
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |