Tourizense vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
NAV
15%
24%
62%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
SER
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
TOU
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 2
TOU
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 0
TOU
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
MAN
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 3
ADM
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAM
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
CAR
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |