Tourizense vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
TOU
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 0
OPE
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 2
TOU
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 1
SAB
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 0
TOU
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADN
2 - 1
SAB
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
ADN
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 2
OLI
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADN
2 - 1
PRA
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |