Tourizense vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPC
3 - 1
TOU
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 0
TOU
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 0
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LIX
1 - 2
TOU
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SER
0 - 2
TOU
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ACV
2 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ADN
0 - 3
PAM
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
ADN
55%
22%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIE
0 - 3
ADN
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
BEN
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |