Tourizense vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOU
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 0
OPE
37%
26%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
TOU
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
ANA
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
TOU
48%
24%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ADN
3 - 3
BUS
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
ADN
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ADN
0 - 1
BEN
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PAM
2 - 1
ADN
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
ADN
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |