Tourcoing vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
79.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourcoing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TOU
5 - 0
GCP
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
TOU
1 - 2
TOU
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ASB
4 - 1
TOU
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TOU
0 - 1
CHT
34%
24%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
TOU
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
AUX
1 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEN
28%
26%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
ORL
0 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
USS
0 - 2
VAL
7%
14%
80%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |