FCO Tourangeau vs Bourges Foot 18 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
4º
3º
31
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCO Tourangeau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
TOU
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 0
CHA
76%
14%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AVO
1 - 2
TOU
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 2
TOU
11%
20%
69%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ORL
0 - 2
TOU
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bourges Foot 18 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
MON
29%
22%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 1
BOU
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
66%
18%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHA
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |