FCO Tourangeau vs Montlouis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
14º
9º
27
1º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 50 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 30 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCO Tourangeau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ROM
6 - 4
TOU
71%
18%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 2
CHA
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 1
PAN
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SBM
2 - 1
TOU
24%
21%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 2
VIE
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Montlouis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIE
5 - 0
MON
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
MON
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
POI
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |