Toulouse U19 vs Nice U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
9º
1º
26
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 53 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 49 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 45 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 37 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 36 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 23 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
OLY
4 - 2
TOU
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
TOU
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
AJA
38%
23%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ASG
3 - 6
TOU
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
ORO
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nice U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ASG
0 - 6
NIC
17%
19%
64%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NIC
5 - 2
ORO
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COL
3 - 2
NIC
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
MON
40%
23%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
NIC
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |