Toulouse U19 vs Gazélec Ajaccio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+272%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
10º
36
8º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ETI
1 - 3
TOU
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 3
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 1
TOU
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
TOU
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 2
TOU
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
MGG
30%
22%
49%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
AJA
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 2
MON
23%
21%
55%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
ROD
35%
21%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
OLY
25%
21%
55%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |