Toulouse U19 vs Ajaccio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
4º
41
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 1
TOU
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 1
MON
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
TOU
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOU
0 - 2
OLY
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 2
TOU
11%
16%
73%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIC
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
AJA
19%
19%
63%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
CAN
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
AJA
30%
24%
47%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |