Toulouse U19 vs Air Bel Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
4º
33
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
4 - 2
TOU
15%
20%
65%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 1
COL
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 5
TOU
21%
22%
58%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 1
AJA
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 1
TOU
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Air Bel Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 0
NIC
32%
22%
47%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ETI
1 - 2
ABE
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 4
ABE
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
ABE
31%
21%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -2 |