Toulouse II vs Villenave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LES
2 - 0
TOU
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 0
BAL
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 2
TOU
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TOU
3 - 0
BER
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LEG
3 - 1
TOU
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Villenave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANG
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
VIL
35%
24%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
AUR
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
VIL
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |