Toulouse II vs Union Saint-Jean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
8º
2º
20
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
2 - 1
TOU
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ONE
1 - 1
TOU
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 0
AGD
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 0
TOU
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
MON
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union Saint-Jean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USJ
2 - 2
BAL
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
1 - 3
USJ
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
USJ
1 - 1
BEA
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ONE
2 - 0
USJ
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
USJ
4 - 0
AGD
27%
23%
51%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +4 |