Toulouse II vs Trelissac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
7º
2º
5
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 45 |
1º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 37 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 37 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 34 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 34 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 20 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BLA
2 - 1
TOU
42%
27%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 1
ONE
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CRF
1 - 0
TOU
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 0
BAY
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 1
TOU
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Trelissac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAS
37%
28%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 2
TRE
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
FCA
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 0
TRE
13%
18%
68%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
ROM
28%
26%
45%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |