Toulouse II vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
14º
14º
28
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HYE
4 - 1
TOU
60%
24%
17%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 6
LPV
14%
26%
60%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
5 - 0
TOU
71%
18%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
AUB
16%
24%
60%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 0
TOU
75%
16%
8%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
THO
1 - 1
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 0
THO
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THO
2 - 1
OLY
47%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
JUR
0 - 0
THO
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
THO
0 - 0
AND
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |