Toulouse II vs Paulhan/Pézenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOU
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
ANG
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NIO
2 - 3
TOU
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
BLA
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 2
BAL
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
PAU
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 0
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 2
PAU
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
AUR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |