Toulouse II vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FAB
1 - 5
TOU
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 2
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 1
TOU
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 0
FCA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NIM
0 - 2
TOU
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NAR
1 - 1
AGD
32%
25%
42%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
NAR
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 1
BLA
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
NAR
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NAR
3 - 0
SAM
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |