Toulouse II vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
TOU
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TOU
3 - 1
BAL
41%
27%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ROD
3 - 3
TOU
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TOU
2 - 3
MON
29%
25%
45%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BLA
2 - 0
TOU
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NAR
2 - 0
AVE
23%
21%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
LUZ
3 - 1
NAR
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 2
NIM
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NAR
1 - 0
CAS
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
NAR
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |