Toulouse II vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
2 - 1
TOU
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 1
NIM
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 1
TOU
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 2
TOU
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 0
VIC
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NAR
1 - 1
BAL
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 0
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 1
NAR
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
NAR
2 - 3
MUR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
NIM
0 - 0
NAR
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |