Toulouse II vs Lormont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
TOU
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
STA
4 - 1
TOU
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
TOU
3 - 1
SAG
55%
25%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 3
TOU
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
NAR
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 5
STA
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 0
LOR
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
NAR
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |