Toulouse II vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TOU
1 - 2
AUB
24%
24%
51%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NIM
1 - 0
TOU
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 1
TOU
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 0
AGD
50%
26%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
TOU
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FAB
3 - 0
FUR
46%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SCT
0 - 0
FAB
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 3
GRA
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 0
SCR
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NIM
2 - 2
FAB
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |