Toulouse II vs Colomiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
8º
2º
33
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
BEA
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 3
TOU
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
USJ
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
2 - 1
TOU
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ONE
1 - 1
TOU
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
PAU
8%
17%
76%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
BEZ
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AGD
2 - 3
COL
33%
28%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
MON
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |