Toulouse II vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
AUB
3 - 1
TOU
71%
17%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
TOU
2 - 2
OLY
44%
26%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AGD
1 - 0
TOU
38%
26%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TOU
0 - 0
BAL
37%
27%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
TOU
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
FUR
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ROD
4 - 1
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
SCT
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FAB
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |