Toulouse II vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
14º
14º
21
8º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
TOU
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
SPO
22%
26%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 2
OLY
20%
24%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 2
TOU
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 1
AND
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 0
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
BOU
63%
23%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 2
JUR
21%
24%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 0
THO
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
AND
1 - 0
BOU
71%
19%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |