Toulouse II vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
TOU
33%
28%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
TOU
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TOU
4 - 0
LIM
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 3
BAL
53%
25%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
BLA
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BLA
3 - 1
MAR
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LIM
4 - 1
BLA
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 2
AUR
51%
26%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |