Toulouse II vs Béziers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
8º
2º
57
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
TOU
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 0
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ROD
3 - 1
TOU
27%
21%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 0
FCA
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 2
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Béziers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 0
USJ
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FBP
1 - 3
BEZ
8%
17%
75%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BEZ
0 - 0
BEA
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ONE
3 - 7
BEZ
9%
18%
72%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
BEZ
2 - 0
AGD
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | +1 |