Toulouse II vs Stade Beaucairois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
8º
2º
50
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 3
TOU
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
USJ
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
2 - 1
TOU
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ONE
1 - 1
TOU
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 0
AGD
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Beaucairois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 1
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ROD
2 - 4
BEA
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 0
FCA
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 1
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
USJ
1 - 1
BEA
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |