Toulouse II vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 2
TOU
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TOU
3 - 0
BER
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LEG
3 - 1
TOU
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 0
ROD
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
BAY
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
ANG
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AGD
0 - 0
BAL
58%
24%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
BLA
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
BAL
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
AUR
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |