Toulouse II vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 3
LES
44%
27%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 0
TOU
61%
19%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 2
TOU
59%
21%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 1
CAS
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -4 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 0
TOU
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
BAL
46%
27%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MON
7 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
3 - 1
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LIM
1 - 0
AUR
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
VIL
46%
25%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |