Toulouse II vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
TOU
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAR
2 - 1
TOU
40%
24%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 2
LES
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
AUC
2 - 3
TOU
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 2
LOR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
NAR
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LES
0 - 2
AUR
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 3
AUC
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
AUR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |