Toulouse II vs Auch Football analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
BER
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
TOU
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 2
BAL
52%
26%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
4 - 0
NAR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LES
2 - 1
TOU
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Auch Football
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AUC
4 - 1
VIC
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
AUC
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
AUC
67%
20%
14%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 2
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BER
3 - 0
AUC
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |