Toulouse vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
NIO
1 - 0
TFC
26%
29%
45%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
TFC
3 - 1
RED
56%
24%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1995 |
MAR
1 - 1
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
TFC
0 - 0
POI
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
ASN
2 - 3
TFC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAE
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
DUN
2 - 0
VAL
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
VAL
4 - 0
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
AMI
0 - 1
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 0
CSL
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |