Toulouse vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
52.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AMI
0 - 0
TFC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LYO
3 - 0
TFC
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TFC
2 - 5
BRE
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
STP
1 - 0
TFC
6%
14%
80%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
NIC
3 - 0
TFC
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
STR
1 - 2
LIL
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
STR
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ANG
1 - 5
STR
7%
18%
75%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MET
1 - 0
STR
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |