Toulouse vs Stade Lavallois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1993 |
MON
4 - 0
TFC
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1993 |
TFC
3 - 0
NÎM
57%
26%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1993 |
TFC
0 - 0
LEN
48%
28%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1993 |
TFC
2 - 0
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1993 |
SPO
2 - 0
TFC
43%
29%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1993 |
STL
1 - 0
REN
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
STL
4 - 0
GUI
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
GRA
1 - 3
STL
13%
23%
64%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
BOU
2 - 1
STL
19%
25%
57%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1991 |
NIO
2 - 1
STL
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |