Toulouse vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
NIC
3 - 1
TFC
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 1
TFC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
TFC
2 - 0
STL
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
GIR
1 - 1
TFC
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
BRE
7 - 0
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
NAN
3 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
MET
3 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
MON
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
SOC
4 - 2
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |