Toulouse vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
LEN
0 - 1
TFC
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
TFC
1 - 3
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
STL
1 - 0
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
TFC
3 - 1
NAN
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
TFC
2 - 0
FCR
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
BRE
1 - 0
FCR
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
STR
1 - 0
BRE
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
BRE
0 - 0
GIR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
SOC
2 - 0
BRE
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |