Toulouse vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
SED
6 - 0
TFC
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
TFC
1 - 0
VAL
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
REN
1 - 1
TFC
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1964 |
TFC
2 - 2
LEN
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
ANG
2 - 4
TFC
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIR
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
FCR
1 - 0
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 1
LYO
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
SFP
3 - 2
SPO
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
SPO
3 - 1
LIL
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |