Europa League 1/16
Global 4-6
Toulouse vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
TFC
0 - 0
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
NAN
2 - 1
TFC
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
TFC
1 - 0
NAP
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 0
RAC
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
SOC
1 - 1
TFC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
FCL
0 - 1
SPA
2%
20%
78%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 0
FCL
95%
3%
2%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 1
SPA
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
SPA
0 - 1
NAN
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
BRU
1 - 3
SPA
74%
15%
12%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |