Toulouse vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
TFC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 1
NAN
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
DIJ
2 - 0
TFC
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
ASN
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 1
ANG
56%
27%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASS
39%
28%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
IRI
1 - 4
ASS
7%
18%
75%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
56%
26%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
ASS
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |