Toulouse vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
TFC
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
TFC
2 - 1
ARL
62%
24%
14%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GIR
1 - 2
TFC
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
TFC
2 - 0
BRE
60%
26%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 1
LEN
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
REN
0 - 0
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 2
SOC
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
PSG
3 - 1
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
MON
0 - 2
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |