Toulouse vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
TRO
1 - 1
TFC
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
TFC
0 - 1
BAS
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 1
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2000 |
TFC
3 - 0
LMU
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
NIO
1 - 1
TFC
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
ASS
3 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
GUI
2 - 2
ASS
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ASS
3 - 1
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
STR
0 - 1
ASS
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 2
GIR
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |