Toulouse vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1983 |
MET
1 - 3
TFC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
TFC
1 - 0
BRE
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
LEN
0 - 1
TFC
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
TFC
1 - 3
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
STL
1 - 0
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
FCR
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1983 |
STR
2 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
ASS
0 - 2
GIR
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 0
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 0
LIL
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |