Toulouse vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
NIC
2 - 4
TFC
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1963 |
TFC
5 - 1
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
ASN
1 - 2
TFC
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
MPL
1 - 1
TFC
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1963 |
LYO
3 - 3
TFC
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 1
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1962 |
FCN
3 - 0
ASS
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -3 |
| 18 Oct. 1962 |
ASS
0 - 0
FCN
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
VST
0 - 3
ASS
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 1
VST
70%
16%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |