Toulouse vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
REN
1 - 1
TFC
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
TFC
1 - 1
LYO
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
TFC
2 - 0
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
TFC
2 - 0
ANG
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
LHA
2 - 0
TFC
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
MET
6 - 0
ASS
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
5 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
2 - 0
REI
32%
22%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
FCR
3 - 1
ASS
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 1
ASN
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |