Toulouse vs Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
NIO
1 - 2
TFC
43%
28%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
TFC
0 - 1
ASB
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
TFC
3 - 1
STA
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 1
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
TFC
3 - 1
ASS
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
PER
0 - 0
LMU
41%
28%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 0
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 0
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
PER
2 - 0
SPI
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
FCM
2 - 1
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |