Toulouse vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
TFC
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
TFC
3 - 0
LOR
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LYO
2 - 0
TFC
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TFC
1 - 0
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AUX
1 - 2
TFC
51%
27%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
PFC
5 - 1
UJA
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 1
FRE
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ASB
3 - 2
PFC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 1
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 1
PFC
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |